πŸ“… Published on March 22, 2026 - 7 pm ET

By: M. ~ Educational purposes only


πŸŒ€ Cycle Position

Cycle Meter: πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄Β 10**/10** (Confirmed Bear)

The market is finally showing it’s hand. Structure has resolved and downside expansion is underway.


πŸ“ΈΒ Market Snapshot

For the week of March 22, 2026

Market Overview

Metric Value Structural Note
BTC Price $68,020 Second bear flag already formed, holding structure with potential for another push into resistance.
Total Crypto Market Cap $2.32T Basing under resistance, showing signs of stabilization after prior breakdown.
BTC Dominance 58.62% Elevated as expected in this phase, no abnormal capital rotation signal.
USDT Dominance 7.94% Sitting near support, not expanding aggressively, no strong risk-off pressure.
BTC Open Interest $99.8B Elevated but stable, no aggressive unwind, positioning still engaged.
Funding Rate (OI-Weighted) 0.0016% Slight long bias, but not stretched, no crowding extremes.
24h Liquidations $315M Recent flush cleared weaker positioning without breaking structure.
ETF Net Inflows (Weekly, BTC) +$600M Consistent inflows supporting underlying bid despite consolidation.
Alt Index 50 Neutral reading, reflects short-term strength without broader trend shift.

Macro Structure Overlay

Metric Value Structural Read
DXY $99.674 Holding near range lows, slight dollar weakness but no confirmed breakdown yet.
US 10Y Yield 4.404% Breaking higher into resistance with strong momentum, rising yields begin to reintroduce pressure on risk assets.
S&P 500 (SPX) $6,506.48 Short-term structure breaking down with momentum, risk entering a corrective phase within a still intact higher timeframe range.
Crude Oil (CL1!) $98.28 Holding elevated levels, no demand collapse signal, underlying macro bid remains intact.
Gold (XAUUSD) $4351 Strong trend intact, continuing to reflect macro uncertainty and capital seeking safety.
Silver (XAGUSD) $65.20 Showing strength but less consistent than gold, mixed momentum within metals complex.
VIX 26.78 Elevated volatility, market stress building but not at panic extremes.

HTF Market Structure At A Glance

A quick visual overview of the 4 charts that matter most.

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